CAR SUBSCRIPTION MARKET

INTRODUCTION

Car subscriptions started making headlines in 2017 and by Q2-2018 end gathered full momentum. As of Dec 2019, 20 OEMs are offering  or about to offer vehicles by subscription around the world.

With the rise of Mobility-as-a-service, auto manufacturers are now increasingly trying car subscription services in small volumes to test consumer adoption in various regions.

Before, we discuss about the car subscription market, lets discuss what could be the potential reason for OEMs to get into or not get into this business model.

 

 

Pros

  1. Premium brands (Ex Porsche, Cadillac, Audi etc) can get a new set of young customers, who were otherwise intimidated by high sticker price and who would have probably bought a vehicle of that segment later in their life.
  2. Customers can switch models within the same brand after their subscription period is over

 

Cons

  1. The pilot initiatives are limited to certain regions and a handful of countries only. The small sample size may not give true picture of consumer adoption worldwide
  2. Most of the car subscriptions are expensive (2X-3X of monthly lease amount for same car)

 

 

Getting a vehicle via subscription is more about convenience (reserved through app), flexibility (multiple short-term plans) that comes with low financial liability.

 

 

MARKET SEGMENTATION

Vehicle subscription market segmentation

 

 

OEMS OFFERING OR ABOUT TO OFFER CAR SUBSCRIPTION- Dec 2019

 

SL NOOEMSUBSCRIPTION PARTNERREGION
1PolestarPolestar space
(low cost, high tech retail outlet)
US and Canada
2PorscheClutch TechnologiesUS and Canada(Upcoming)
3AudiGroup 1 Automotive, SixtUS and Europe
4CadillacSelect dealersUS, Switzerland(upcoming) and Germany(upcoming))
5VolvoSelect dealersUS and UK
6BMW and MiniDrover (UK)US, UK and Singapore
7Mercedes BenzSelect dealersUS
8Hyundai, GenesisRevv(India), Select dealersUS, South Korea and India
9VolkswagenZoomcar,Drover(UK)India and UK
10NissanZoomcarIndia
11Mahindra & MahindraZoomcarIndia
12MG Motors (SAIC)MylesIndia
13RenaultZoomcarIndia
14Jaguar Land RoverInmotion VenturesUK
15LexusSelect dealersUS
16ToyotaZoomcarIndia
17Ford & LincolnCanvasUS
18JeepSelect dealersUS
19PSAWagonex,Hellocars and DroverUK,Australia
20Kia MotorsSelect dealers HellocarsSouth Korea, Australia

 

 

COVID-19 IMPACT ON CAR SUBSCRIPTION MARKET

As we all know by now that COVID-19 has severely impacted all markets and industries worldwide, and the car Industry declined in Q1-2020 at an extremely rapid pace.Auto sales could decline by as much as ~20% for full year 2020. That is a grave challenge for the century old car ownership based business model. But, what will that mean for the car subscription market? We look at multiple scenarios below

Scenario 1:  Certain urban consumers who were earlier used to Mobility as a Service or Public transport and come out of this pandemic , relatively unaffected financially could be the new customers of car subscription as now public transport will operate with reduced capacity.

Scenario 2: Car OEMs start offering 0% finance in developed markets (US and Europe) with 84 month lease payments as a norm. If car subscription companies could bring down the  subscription prices in a comparable range of monthly lease payments then they have a real chance of wooing a customer who is not interested in more than a year long commitment of paying monthly lease.

Scenario 3: Car rental operators could introduce car subscription at a reasonable rate to compensate the reduced bookings to improve their cashflow

 

 

 

CAR SUBSCRIPTION MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

 

As of Dec 2019, US, UK, Australia and India appear to be the focal points of car subscription.

Among the four countries mentioned above, India’s inclusion would surprise all Industry stakeholders because India`s car ownership is amongst world`s lowest at ~22 cars per 1,000 inhabitants. But India is also a very young country and very high traffic congestion in all 8 tier-1 cities in India has made car ownership a liability who just want to get from point A to point B without associated driver fatigue.

In US, 80-85% of vehicles are either bought on finance/lease, which typically includes an average down payment of $3,000-$5,000 and a monthly payment of $400-$700.This might seem ok to people from earlier generation where car ownership was the only option but the millennials , many of whom are burdened with student loans find it a strain on their finances and thus could prefer the subscription model.

 

The future of car subscription market will also be impacted by the arrival of L3/L4 automated vehicles, consumers who need this kind of service, are typically not very keen on driving themselves and want maximum convenience with low financial liability.

 

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

UK based Drover and India based Zoomcar have partnered with multiple OEMs for subscription services. Hyundai has made almost its entire lineup available in India through its partner(Revv).

Going forward, we believe there is scope for tech companies like Drover, Zoom car to scale the vehicle subscription services to many more cities. Although, there will be push back from dealer bodies but many of them just don’t have the required infrastructure to support a revolutionary business model like this.

 

 

COMPANY PROFILES
  1. Clutch Technologies LLC
  2. Zoom Car Pvt Limited
  3. FreshCar(Previously Carma Car)
  4. Enterprise Rent-A-Car
  5. LMP Subscriptions
  6. Revv(Prime mover Mobility Technologies Pvt Ltd)
  7. Canvas(A subsidiary of Ford Motor Credit Company)
  8. Drover Limited
  9. Hellocars(Innovate Automotive Pty Ltd)
  10. Wagonex Ltd
  11. Inmotion Ventures Ltd
  12. Hertz Corporation

 

 

THIS REPORT WILL ANSWER FOLLWING QUESTIONS

  1. Can vehicle subscription be rolled out by car manufacturers on a global scale? If yes then which segments and regions will be the top choices?
  2. Which price point and vehicle segment offers good value to vehicle subscribers?
  3. Who are the leading players so far, key differentiation in their business model?
  4. Is there a possibility to offer expensive electric vehicles via subscription? If yes, then in which region?
  5. What is the estimated car subscription market size and forecast for 2019-2025?
  6. Who are the consumers of vehicle subscription? How do they differ based on region? What are their other mobility requirements
  7. What are the major paint points of vehicle subscribers, globally and how it can be addressed by subscription providers?
  8. Role of tech companies in roll out of subscription model, how will the role of dealers change and are they ready to accept the change in consumer behaviour?
Sl noTopic
1Market Segmentation
2Executive Summary
3Introduction
4Insights from Industry Stakeholders
5Comparison of car subscription service costs in US, EU, India and Australia
6Decoding OEMs strategy in Car subscription services
7Impact of COVID-19 on Car subscription market
8Role of dealerships in the growth of car subscription market, by region
9Role of car rental companies in the growth of car subscription market, by region
10Most popular subscribed car models in US, Europe, China, and India
11Average car subscription period, by region
12Profile of car subscribers, by region
13Opportunity in premium and luxury car subscription, by region
14Comparison of new car finance. lease, by region
15Impact on used car market, by region
16Risks in car subscription to OEMs and dealers, by region
17Market Size, Dynamics, and Forecast by Geography
18Market Size, Dynamics, and Forecast by subscription period
19Market Size, Dynamics, and Forecast by OEM
20Market Size, Dynamics, and Forecast by vehicle type
21Competitive Landscape
22Market share of major vendors
23All about start-ups active in car subscription market
24OEM-vendor partnerships for car subscription, by region
25Company Profiles
26Unmet needs and Market Opportunity for new vendors
27Conclusion
28Appendix
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