Global Dual-Clutch Transmission Market 2024-2030

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    DUAL-CLUTCH  TRANSMISSION MARKET

     

    KEY FINDINGS

    • In China, where 1,767 car models are on sale, DCT transmission is offered on ~61% of them. DCT transmission is also extremely popular in domestic brands, who have the highest ~40% share of the overall market
    • In Europe, where 426 car models are on sale, DCT transmission is offered on ~75% of them, up from 54% in 2014
    • Dual-clutch transmission has very limited take off rate in US  and Japan and its reach is limited to premium European brands only
    • The growth in gasoline engine share(46% in 2013 to 67% in 2019) across Europe will result in higher-takeoff rate for DCTs and is a major growth driver for Dual-clutch transmission market
    • Borgwarner , Getrag(Magna)and ZF  are the top 3 DCT module suppliers, globally

     

    INTRODUCTION

    Transmission has a major role in deciding the fuel economy and driving experience of a vehicle. Automated transmission as compared to manual ones are meant to reduce driving fatigue but not without trade-off in terms of reduced fuel economy.

     

    Dual clutch transmissions can deliver fast gearshifts with equal or even better fuel economy than a manual transmission.

     

    infographic: Dual-clutch transmission marketd, ual clutch transmission market size, dual clutch transmission market trends, dual clutch transmission market share, DCT Transmission market

    DCT transmission is predominantly a European technology with its roots in Germany. It is the most sought-after transmission type after torque converter automatics and CVT (Continuously variable transmission).

     

    Until early 2000s, Dual clutch transmission (DCT) systems were though of a novel technology limited to Formula 1 and ultra-luxury cars. Volkswagen broke this concept when it started offering DCT transmission on the best-seller, mass segment Golf in 2003.

     

    DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET DYNAMICS

    SI No Timeline Developments
    1 Q4-2021 Dual clutch transmission vehicles improve driving experience and smooth gear shifting. The demand for commercial vehicles and passenger cars are increasing in all segments of manual, automatic transmission, and hybrid vehicles are driving the dual clutch transmissions market.
    2 Q3-2021 The Indian government announced it will provide incentives to industries for both automobile and automotive components manufacturers under the PLI Scheme. The scheme will incentivise modern technologies of automotive components such as automatic transmission, EV parts, sensors, ECUs and many more. 
    3 Q1-2021 American automotive transmission manufacturer Allison Transmission for commercial vehicles introduced a new xFE fully automatic transmission for medium duty trucks, xFE stands for extra fuel economy. 
    4 Q1-2021 ZF Friedrichshafen is a German car parts supplier, invested $200 million for the next three years in automotive transmission manufacturing. The ZF Group will produce ZF PowerLine 8 speed automatic transmission at South Carolina, United States. 

     

    DCT transmissions are known for their ultrafast gear shift times (<200ms) and excellent fuel efficiency. The fuel economy improvement in DCT equipped cars as compared to torque converter automatics is in the range of 15-20%.

     

    On the other hand, limited torque handling capacity and a large amount of recalls issued in past decade or so has affected their overall reach and reliability.

     

    infographic: Dual-clutch transmission marketd, ual clutch transmission market size, dual clutch transmission market trends, dual clutch transmission market share, DCT Transmission market

    SUVs now make up for almost 36% of new car sales in Europe. To reap advantage of the growing SUV segment in Europe, VW group, the market leader(24% market share) in Europe has introduced 6 new models in the European market over past 12 months, taking its total number of SUVs to 17.DCT transmission penetration in VW group cars is the highest in Europe which sell on an average ~3.6-3.8 Million cars per annum in Europe

     

    Diesel`s share in Germany in Oct 2019 has now declined to the lowest level since Oct 2000 at ~31%. The number of DCT transmissions which can handle torque in excess of 350Nm is much lower than transmission with torque handling capacity of 250Nm. Therefore, growth in gasoline powered vehicles volume should further increase the off-take of DCT transmission equipped vehicles in Europe.

     

    High popularity of SUVs with <1.6L turbo engines coupled with 6/7 speed DCT transmission in China will be a major growth driver for DCT transmission market.

     

    DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET SEGMENTATION

    Infographic: Dual-clutch transmission market size, Dual-clutch transmission market share, Dual-clutch transmission market growth

     

    DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

    Volkswagen group cars have the highest share of DCT transmission fitment followed by Ford, Hyundai/Kia. As of Sep 2019, 27 Million+ VW cars have been sold with a DCT transmission and the mid and premium segment cars (Ex Tiguan, Passat etc) have 80+% installation rate.

     

    Infographic: Dual-clutch transmission market history of past 10 years

     

     

    In Europe, among the top 25 best-selling cars, 14 out of 25 had at least one variant with DCT transmission, whereas in China 6 out of top 10 best-selling SUVs had DCT transmission as standard.

     

    Globally, 7- speed DCT transmission (input torque <250Nm) has outgrown all other DCT transmission segment in transverse powertrain.

     

    The global Dual-clutch  transmission market was estimated at $XX Billion in 2019 growing at –% CAGR till 2025

     

     

    DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET NEW ACQUISITION

     

    Grupo KUO acquired the dual-clutch transmissions (DCT) business by purchasing the assets of HOERBIGER Drivetrain Mechatronics B.V.B.A. in Loppem, Belgium, through its subsidiary, S.A. In the previous year, the purchased company reported sales to a circle of customers that included Europe’s main transmission manufacturers.

     

    Dual-clutch transmissions (DCT) offer more shift ease, sportiness, and fuel efficiency than traditional manual and automatic transmissions. Grupo KUO will be able to expand its DCT systems business and access new market segments with strong growth potential as a result of this acquisition.

     

    In this transaction, Atlas Advisors served as the exclusive financial advisor to Grupo KUO. Atlas Advisors, LLC and Atlas Strategic Advisors, LLC are marketed as Atlas Advisors.

     

    Atlas Strategic Advisors, LLC is a financial advising firm that specialises in mergers and acquisitions, as well as other comparable transactions. Atlas Strategic Advisors, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Atlas Advisors, LLC and a FINRA member, is a wholly owned subsidiary of Atlas Advisors, LLC.

     

    Atlas Strategic Advisors, LLC and its affiliates make no recommendation, solicitation, or offer to purchase or sell any stocks, futures, options, or other financial instruments, or to provide any investment advice or service, based on the information contained in this release.

     

     

    DUAL CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET TRENDS

     

    SI No Timeline Company Developments
    1 Q4-2021 Allison Transmission  North America’s largest heavy duty truck manufacturer, Daimler Truck North America(DTNA) recognised the largest automatic transmission supplier Allison Transmission as the Master of Quality award, as it is the top component and service supplier for DTNA. 
    2 Q4-2021 Allison Transmission  Allison Transmission supplied its automatic transmission systems to Isuzu commercial trucks of America. Isuzu’s F-series class 6 is fitted with Allison’s 2550 RDS six-speed fully automatic transmission and F-series class 7 truck model is featured with 2500 SeriesTM (RDS) six-speed fully automatic transmission. 
    3 Q2-2021 Volkswagen  Volkswagen revealed its upcoming compact SUV, VW Taos with advanced technology. The car is powered by 1.5 liter EA211 turbocharged four cylinder petrol engine, with 7 speed dual clutch automatic transmission and base front drive Taos equipped with 8 speed planetary automatic transmission. 
    4 Q1-2021 Lumax Auto Technologies  Indian based company Lumax Auto Technologies designed a AMT and DCT gear shift with limited electronic parts and it will supply gearshift for the Tata Altroz AMT hatchback car. 

     

    DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    SI No Timeline Company Developments
    1 Q4-2021 Allison Transmission Allison Transmission is the largest global manufacturer of automatic transmission for commercial vehicles and defense vehicles, announced its third quarter results were up by 7% year over year and net sales revenue of $567 million with net income of $94 million. 
    2 Q4-2021 Maruti Suzuki  Indian automobile manufacturer Maruti Suzuki automatic transmission sales increased to 11% in a decade till 2021, major AMT car sales are higher in urban areas than rural.
    3 Q4-2021 Magna Powertrain Magna Powertrain to supply hybrid dual clutch transmissions(HDT) for Mercedes Benz for the next generation mid range cars launching in 2025, Magna will produce transmissions at its manufacturing facility in Bari, Italy.
    4 Q3-2021 ZF Friedrichshafen Global technology company supplying systems for passenger cars, commercial vehicles ZF Friedrichshafen sales revenue grew to 43% of $23 billion in the first half of 2021 when compared with the first half of previous year. 
    5 Q1-2021 Schaeffler Technologies German automotive components manufacturers Schaeffler Technologies supply dual clutch transmissions for the Tata technologies Altroz equipped with a 1.2 litre turbo petrol engine with automatic transmission. 

     

    The supplier base of DCT transmission market is limited due to limited adoption of this technology by car manufacturers. So far only Ford, Hyundai and select European automakers have equipped their cars with DCT. Most of the Japanese car makers have stayed away from this technology due to various reasons.

     

    BorgWarner has been helmed as the pioneer of mass produced DCT transmission. Even, the first mass produced DCT by Volkswagen was designed by BorgWarner and licensed to Volkswagen. In China, the American multinational has an agreement with 12 local manufacturers to produce DCT modules for their various passenger cars locally.

     

    infographic: Dual-clutch transmission marketd, ual clutch transmission market size, dual clutch transmission market trends, dual clutch transmission market share, DCT Transmission market

     

    The in-house development of this DCT transmission technology has been limited to less than 5 OEMs. In 2007, Volkswagen became the first OEM to develop the widely used 7-speed DSG, in-house, followed by Renault in 2009

     

    Getrag(now acquired by Magna Powertrain)  is considered the specialist for its expertise in DCT transmissions. It supplies to almost all major OEMs.

     

    Unlike torque converter automatics, where new transmissions integrating electric motor have been developed for MHEV/PHEV applications, many suppliers(except Magna) are yet to develop something like that in DCT market. Therefore, it will be interesting to see the impact of growing vehicle electrification on DCT transmission market.

     

    DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION MARKET COMPANIES PROFILED

    1. ZF Friedrichshafen AG
    2. Getrag(Magna Powertrain)
    3. Volkswagen AG
    4. Hyundai Powertech Co, Ltd
    5. BorgWarner Transmission Systems
    6. Continental AG
    7. Fiat Powertrain Technologies
    8. Schaeffler Group
    9. Oerlikon Graziano
    10. Groupe Renault
    11. Ricardo Plc
    12. TREMEC Corporation

     

    THIS REPORT WILL ANSWER THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS

    1. How will the DCT transmission market grow/decline in key geographies globally?
    2. Impact of e-mobility on DCT transmission market
    3. Which vehicle segment will generate the highest DCT transmission demand in top 10 countries?
    4. DCT transmission demand in luxury cars segment
    5. What`s happening in the DCT transmission material supply chain?
    6. Average B-2-B price in all segments
    7. Future technology trend of DCT transmission and manufacturing capacity in US, Europe, China, and India
    8. New product development and launches
    9. Upcoming vehicle platforms with DCT transmission
    10. OE- Supplier alignment in dual-clutch transmission market
    11. Market share of leading players in different segments

     

    To enquire about the report, write to us at [email protected]

    1 Market Segmentation 3
    2 Executive Summary 5-6
    3 Introduction 7-10
    4 Insights from Industry stakeholders 11
    5 Key criteria for DCT transmission adoption by OEMs 12-13
    6 Raw material supply chain and DCT transmission manufacturing in US, Europe and China 14-15
    8 New product development and innovation 18-19
    9 Global automotive transmission trends 20-21
    10 Impact of growth in EV market on DCT transmission market 22-23
    11 Market Size ,Dynamics and Forecast By Product type 29-38
    12 Market Size ,Dynamics and Forecast By Application 29-38
    13 Market Size ,Dynamics and Forecast By sub-component 39-48
    14 Market Size ,Dynamics and Forecast By Geography 49-65
    16 Competitive Landscape 79-82
    17 OEM-supplier relationship in DCT transmission market 27-28
    18 Company Profiles 80-95
    19 Unmet needs and Market Opportunity for suppliers 96-97
    20 Conclusion 98-99
    21 5 Key predictions 100
    22 Appendix 101
     
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