Global Military Missiles Market 2020-2025

June 1, 2020
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KEY FINDINGS

  • Global Military Missile Market will grow at a CAGR of 2%. It is expected to reach its peak during 2021-2022. Key drivers for the market growth will be insecurities with the neighbouring countries, increasing border tension, South-China sea issue and desire to become superpower in the most advance technological era.
  • Due to non-compliance of US and Russia under INF treaty in 2019, Hypersonic missiles is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 10% between 2020-2025.
  • After the suspension of INF Treaty in 2019 between US and Russia, Intermediate/long range missile production will again gain its momentum. However, its market share will be low primarily due to its hight cost and the fear of re-engineering.
  • Due to COVID-19 Europe and NATO allies countries will be cutting their defense budget & leading to less procurement this year in contrast to FY 2019-20.
  • Development in the field of Hypersonic technology and surface to air missiles will be the key drivers of market during the forecast period.
  • Lockheed Martin, USA leads the market in missile deal contracts with an average of 34% of total market deals signed between 2018-2020.
  • With increase in the sale of fighter jets and attack helicopters around the world, demand for advanced and guided Air to Surface and Air to Air missile is going to increase during the forecast period. Fire and forget type missiles will lead the market segment.
  • US will be the net exporter and Asia-Pacific region will be the net importer of missiles during the forecast period.

INTRODUCTION

The two important qualities that define any missile is speed and manoeuvrability. Speed could catch the enemy off guard and manoeuvrability can make it very tough for the defence system to accurately counter the missile.

Most of the recent technology developments related to Missiles has happened out of competitive pressure among the leading countries like US, China and Russia.

 

 

MARKET SEGMENTATION

By Geography

  • US
  • China
  • Russia
  • India
  • Saudi Arabia
  • France
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Rest of the world

 

By Range

  • Short range
  • Medium range (Inter-continent)
  • Long range

 

BY MISSILE TYPE

  • Hypersonic
  • Subsonic
  • Supersonic

 

MARKET DYNAMICS

Most American Aircraft to aircraft missiles meant to hit other aircraft or ground targets, travel between Mach 1 and Mach 5. But now the Trump administration is pouring Multi-Billion dollars a year to augment their hypersonic missiles and defence system. US now aims to field hypersonic warfighting capabilities in the early- to mid-2020s.

There are two major types of hypersonic weapons being developed. 1. Hypersonic glide vehicle- launched from a rocket, Later glides to a target, at high speed to evade interception. 2.Hypersonic cruise missile- it is powered by a supersonic combustion ramjet, allowing the missile to fly and manoeuvre at lower altitudes.

The US spending on Hypersonic weapons has grown to $3.4 Billion in 2020 as compared to $800 Million in 2017 and for 2021 it is expected to be $3.6 Billion.

China on the other hand is also aggressively pursuing hypersonic missiles. It has already conducted multiple successful tests of the DF-17- a medium-range(1,600-2,400kms)  ballistic missile designed to launch hypersonic glide vehicles. 

In Dec 2019- Russia`s Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle, which can fly at Mach 27 became operational. It has already been fitted to Soviet-built intercontinental ballistic missiles(ICBM) and in the future could be fitted to the more powerful and still being developed Sarmat(also an ICBM).

Japan’s Defense Ministry is also planning to incorporate an antiship capability on its future hypersonic missiles.The Japan Ministry of Defense plans to spend  $226 Million on hypersonic research in 2020.

 

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT/TESTING IN GLOBAL MILITARY MISSILE MARKET

May 2020- South Korea test fired Hyunmoo-4, a new ballistic missile with a range of 800 km and a 2-ton payload capacity

May 2020– US successfully tested a prototype of Precision strike missile with 500km+ range and is expected to enter service in 2023

April 2020– Taiwan successfully tested the Sky Bow 3 surface-to-air missile and the Yun Feng land-attack cruise missile (1,500+ km range)

April 2020– Ukraine’s Luch Design Bureau successfully tested its Neptune antiship missile. The missile weighs 670 kg and has a maximum range of 280 km

April 2020– Pakistan’s navy tested an indigenously developed antiship/land-attack cruise missile

March 2020- US tested a hypersonic glide vehicle at its Facility in Kauai, Hawaii. The test was deemed a success and a major milestone

March 2020– North Korea test fired two KN-24 short-range ballistic missiles. The development was also confirmed by South Korea Chief of Staff

December 2018- Russia successfully tested Kh-101 and Kalibr cruise missiles with a range of 4,500 kilometres in combat in Syria

 

GLOBAL MILITARY MISSILES MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

US is the world`s biggest spender on development of new missiles whereas UAE and Saudi Arabia, the two key allies with ~$90 Billion in cumulative annual defence spending are also reliant on US for new missile technologies.

Iran has a comparatively lower defense budget of $16-$17 Billion but due to a variety of economic sanctions, Iran’s ability to buy advanced weaponry abroad has dwindled. Iran still has 1980s era fighter jets as compared to much advanced fighter jets of its neighbours. Therefore, Iran has invested heavily into missile development.

The global Military Missile market is estimated at $XX B in 2020 and expected to grow at –% CAGR till 2025

 

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

42 out of top 100 defence contractors by Revenue belong to US and thus it is no surprise that the global Military missiles market is dominated by American companies.

The Trump administration has time and gain stressed that weapon sales to various countries are imperative for the US economy, therefore many US Defense companies have got excellent support their government since early 2000s.

In April 2020, Northrop Grumman Corporation and Raytheon Missiles & Defense, partnered  to pursue a U.S. Missile Defense Agency (MDA) contract for the Next Generation Interceptor (NGI)

In March 2020, US based Lockheed Martin won a contract for $6.07 Billion from US Army for the production of Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) Missile Segment Enhancement (MSE) interceptors and related equipment. The equipment will be to be delivered across FY21-FY23 contract years. Ten other countries have already signed agreements to procure PAC-3 Missile interceptors

 

 

COMPANY PROFILES

  1. Saab AB
  2. Lockheed Martin Corporation
  3. China Aerospace Science & Industry Corporation Limited (CASIC)
  4. MBDA Holdings SAS
  5. Elbit Systems Brahmos Aerospace
  6. Northrop Grumman Corporation
  7. Brahmos Aerospace Limited
  8. Raytheon Company
  9. Tactical Missiles Corporation
  10. Kratos Defence & Security
  11. The Boeing Company
  12. Aerojet Rocketdyne

 

 

THIS REPORT WILL ANSWER THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS

  1. Market Size and Forecast. Million units and $M(2020-2025)
  2. COVID-19 impact on Défense and Missile development spending
  3. Missile strategies of Top 5 global Military spenders in 2020-21
  4. Market share of leading vendors
  5. New product development in Military Missile Market
Sl noTopic
1Market Segmentation
2Scope of the report
3Abbreviations
4Research Methodology
5Executive Summary
6Introduction
7Insights from Industry stakeholders
8Cost breakdown of Product by sub-components and average profit margin
9Disruptive innovation in the Industry
10Technology trends in the Industry
11Consumer trends in the industry
12Recent Production Milestones
13Component Manufacturing in US, EU and China
14COVID-19 impact on overall market
15COVID-19 impact on Production of components
16COVID-19 impact on Point of sale
17Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by Geography, 2020-2025
18Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by Product Type, 2020-2025
19Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by Application, 2020-2025
20Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by End use, 2020-2025
21Product installation rate by OEM, 2020
22Incline/Decline in Average B-2-B selling price in past 5 years
23Competition from substitute products
24Gross margin and average profitability of suppliers
25New product development in past 12 months
26M&A in past 12 months
27Growth strategy of leading players
28Market share of vendors, 2020
29Company Profiles
30Unmet needs and opportunity for new suppliers
31Conclusion
32Appendix

 

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