Global Solar Panel Market 2021-2026

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    Published- Feb 2021

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    GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET

     

    KEY FINDINGS

    1. The global solar market is expanding, and it’s projected that the world will have 1 trillion watts of installed solar PV capacity by 2023. Global combined solar generation capacity has reached 585 GW as of 2021. In value terms, the market is expected to reach $72B by 2026 as compared to $47B in 2019.
    2. Global solar power generating capacity is increasing at a higher-than-expected rate in most of the countries. Since many countries are achieving their goals before the estimated timeline, solar panel market is expected to grow at an accelerated pace in the coming years
    3. China is the world solar market leader in terms of generation and installation. India could be leading the world solar energy market in the coming years taking benefit of geographical position with more than 300 sunny days in a year. However, a huge investment will be required which is expected from US and European players.
    4. Monocrystalline solar panels will have the highest share overall in the forecast period due to their high efficiency, better durability and cost competitiveness.
    5. There is enormous potential and opportunities for energy investors as well as for renewable energy supporters who are striving to achieve SDG 7 ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all.
    6. Total solar capacity has now reached about the same level as wind capacity thanks largely to expansion in Asia (78 GW) in 2020. Major capacity increases in China (49 GW) and Vietnam (11 GW). Japan also added over 5 GW. India and Republic of Korea both expanded solar capacity by more than 4 GW. The United States of America added 15 GW.

     

    infographic: solar pv module market

     

    INTRODUCTION

    Solar photovoltaic modules also known as solar panels can capture sunlight and convert them into electricity. The main components of the solar photovoltaic modules are numerous types of photovoltaic cells mainly made of silicon.

     

    These components are coupled and encapsulated to form a photovoltaic module. Some photovoltaic panels use plastic lenses or even mirrors to concentrate light onto the minute, highly efficient photovoltaic cell.

     

    Innovation in recent technology now allows a wide range of materials to be used to fabricate photovoltaic cells besides silicon such as conductive plastics, solar inks and dyes.

     

    These components are coupled and encapsulated to form a photovoltaic module. Some photovoltaic panels use plastic lenses or even mirrors to concentrate light onto the minute, highly efficient photovoltaic cell.

     

    Innovation in recent technology now allows a wide range of materials to be used to fabricate photovoltaic cells besides silicon such as conductive plastics, solar inks and dyes.

     

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    In the age of growing concern for carbon emissions and its adverse effects, there is a steady shift towards a dependence on renewable resources for energy consumption. This is the driving force and the prime factor that is thrusting the growth of the solar panel market in the coming years.

     

    Scientists at bell laboratories had first exploited the solar energy in 1954 with the help of working solar cell made of silicon which generated an electric current when exposed to sunlight. Solar cells were then started being used in space satellites and small items like watch and calculators. Now a days, electricity from solar cells have become competitive in many regions and photovoltaic systems are being deployed at large scales to help power the electric grid.

     

    Vast majority of today’s solar cells are made from silicon. These cells offer both reasonable prices and good efficiency i.e. rate of conversion of sunlight to electricity. These cells are then assembled to form large modules and then installed on rooftop of residential/ commercial buildings or deployed on ground-mounted racks to create huge, utility-scale systems. 

     

    Moreover, solar energy helps promote social and economic development as it pushes countries to meet their policy targets for reliable, secure and affordable clean energy which provides electricity access with reduced cost volatility.

     

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    SOLAR PANEL MARKET SEGMENTATION

     

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY MATERIAL/TECHNOLOGY

    • Thin Film Solar Cells

    These solar-cells are made by coating a thin layer of highly absorptive semiconductor material on a sheet of glass, plastic or metal foil. Materials used in thin films are-

    1. Cadmium Telluride (CdTe)
    2. Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS)
    3. Amorphous Thin-film Silicon (a-Si)
    • Perovskite

    These solar cells are type of thin-film cell but are easy to fabricate. It can reach solar conversion efficiency of more than 20%. Materials used to manufacture these cells as of now is Methylammonium Lead Iodide (MAPbI3).

    • Quantum Dots
    • Organic PV

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY GRID CONNECTIVITY

    • Grid Connected
    • Off Grid

     

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY INSTALLATION TYPE

    • Ground Mounted
    • Building-Integrated PV (Bipv)
    • Floating PV

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY TYPE OF CELL

    • Thin film
    • Multi-Si  
    • Mono-Si

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY DEPLOYMENT

    • Ground Mounted  
    • Rooftop Solar

     

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY

    • North America
    • Asia-Pacific
    • Europe
    • South America
    • Middle-East and Africa

     

     

    Top 15 Countries Solar Generating Capacity

     

    Country Generating Capacity (Gw)
    China 252
    Japan 67
    United States 90
    Germany 50
    India 40
    Australia 22
    United Kingdom 14
    France 10.5
    Spain 8.6
    Mexico 4.8
    Canada 3.3
    Chile 2.6
    Brazil 2.4
    UAE 1.7
    Israel 1.4

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET BY END USER

    • Residential  
    • Commercial  
    • Utility

     

     

    GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET DYNAMICS

     

    SI no Timeline Company  Developments
    1 July 2021 First Solar First Solar has invested $684 million in a new, fully vertically integrated photovoltaic(PV) thin film solar module manufacturing facility in India.
    2 June 2021 Acciona Acciona has started its construction of the first 317MWp Solar Photovoltaic Farm in the U.S and in addition to that more than 1.2GW of solar photovoltaic energy by the end of 2023.
    3 June 2021 First Solar In order to expand the American Solar Manufacturing Capacity by 3.3 GW, First Solar has invested $680 million for the expansion.
    4 April 2021 Canadian Solar Canadian Solar has started constructing the four solar projects in Japan with a total of 143 MWp.
    5 February 2021 JinkoSolar JinkoSolar has signed a solar glass procurement contract with Flat Glass Group Co. Ltd for the production of 59GW high-efficient solar modules for three years from 2021-2023. 

     

    SOLAR PANEL MARKE TECHNOLOGY INSIGHTS

    The thin-film section occupied a dominant market share. Thin-film Solar PV panels realize major application in industrial and utility-scale comes as these light-weight panels have reduced installation prices. Lower potency of thin-film Solar PV panels is paid with the economies-of-scale installation.

     

    The crystalline semiconductor section is projected to witness substantial growth over the forecast  the extended lifecycle of panels, low weight volume magnitude relation, and cheap producing of semiconductor semiconductors.

     

    Monocrystalline Solar PV panel’s are made up of highest grade semiconductor and possess higher area potency as compared to thin-film Solar PV panels. However, corporations producing monocrystalline panels target solely the premium section of the market thanks to high initial investment for these panels.

     

     

    GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET DYNAMICS

    The solar PV power is expected to drive strong growth in renewable energy. Solar, together with wind, is expected to produce more than 50% of the total generation in Australia, Germany, Mexico, and the United Kingdom.

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    Emerging economies, such as China, India, and Brazil, have various large-scale ground-mounted solar projects lined up, which are expected to drive the ground-mounted solar PV market over the forecast period. Although utility-scale solar PV projects have gained a significant share in the market studied, small-scale rooftop solar PV systems represent an important part of the market.

     

    Moreover, rooftop solar offers the benefits of modern electricity services to households that had no access to electricity, reducing electricity costs on islands and in other remote locations that are dependent on oil-fired generation. Thus, rooftop solar power is enabling residents and small businesses to generate their own electricity.

     

    The growth of the market is attributing to factors including increasing demand for green energy, as green energy is supported by various governments to promote non-hazardous sources of energy and provide electricity facilities to rural and remote areas.

     

    Further increasing concern regarding environment, decreasing solar panel prices in emerging countries. Additionally, fluctuation in crude oil prices also contributing to the growth of the market along with rising awareness among people regarding the co-effective renewable sources of energy. Other factors such as increasing government subsidies, initiatives, and schemes for rooftop solar panels.


    Proper energy-storing facility and transportation is a challenge for the market as the energy is stored in batteries from which electricity is generated by solar panels, the batteries consist of high cost and maintenance. Another challenge of the high installation cost of solar panels is they are most expensive than traditional panels.

     

    The more electricity generated by a solar system more will be the high the installation cost.  Total solar capacity has now reached about the same level as wind capacity thanks largely to expansion in Asia (78 GW) in 2020. Major capacity increases in China (49 GW) and Viet Nam (11 GW). Japan also added over 5 GW. India and Republic of Korea both expanded solar capacity by more than 4 GW. USA also added 15 GW.

     

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET APPLICATION INSIGHTS

    Speedy penetration of Solar PV panels across company offices, hotels, and hospitals not to mention growing power demand from communication base stations and information centers is predicted to propel the merchandise demand across the industrial sector.

     

    Additionally, increased panel potency, improved energy yield, and module-level observation area unit among the key factors driving the PV panel adoption during this section.

     

    Off-grid Solar PV panels with energy storage system act as reliable secondary supply of power in households, thereby increasing product adoption across the section. Intensive battery energy storage systems need extra-large panels system to store desired power in batteries. This, in turn, can significantly boost the demand for clean energy system within the residential sector.

     

    Growing variety of utility-scale comes attributable to rising demand for clean electricity area unit expected to drive the Solar PV panels market across the commercial sector. 

     

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    China was the most important contributor to the market revenue generation in 2019. Presence of huge market players beside favorable government policies providing subsidies and monetary incentives to PV come area unit among the key factors conducive to the trade growth in China.

     

    Apart from being the most important producing hub of panels producing, China has many Solar farms together with the world’s largest floating farm. Additionally, the country accounts for a distinguished position in Solar PV panel’s exports to the planet.

     

    However, some countries just like the U.S. and India have applied restrictions on the number of PV panel foreign from China, thereby disrupting Global trade profits within the country.

     

    The U.S.  proliferating capability of residential customers in addition to announcement of recent utility comes is anticipated to reinforce product penetration across the country within the returning years.

     

    GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET GENERATING CAPACITY YEARWISE GROWTH

     

    YEAR TOTAL SOLAR CAPACITY (GW)
    2015 229
    2016 306
    2017 403
    2018 512
    2019 584

     

     

    AMERICA SOLAR PV MODULE MARKET

    • As of early 2020, United States has generating capacity of 60.5 GW.
    • In February 2020, Canadian Solar announced the commencement of the construction of 2 solar PV power projects in Japan. These two projects are expected to have capacities of 13.6 MW and 13.0 MW and are located in Ibaraki Prefecture and Fukuoka Prefecture, respectively. These projects are expected to be operational by mid-2021.

     

    ASIA PACIFIC SOLAR PV MODULE MARKET

    The rising demand for solar panels from emerging economies such as India and China as both countries are continuously investing in solar panels to improve the environmental conditions in the region. Further, the market is estimating continuous growth as there are fewer barriers for new entrants. 

     

    Many US-based manufactures are expanding their business in Asia-Pacific so that they can take advantage of cheap labour and lower prices. Furthermore, significant technological advancements in the solar panel industry such as efficiency, energy storage, design, and configuration is creating ample opportunity for market growth.

     

    China is the undisputed renewable growth leader in the world, and it is expected to account for more than 40% of the global renewable energy mix by 2022.

     

    China has been developing strong government initiatives, meeting various capacity targets, and addressing concerns about reducing the increasing air pollution in the country, which are the factors contributing to the growth. According to IEA, China already surpassed its 2020 solar panel target.

     

    Although India is growing exponentially in the solar field, it is still far from reaching the top as it still ranks 6th after China, European Union, United States, Japan, and Germany. India is still to reach 70% of its desired 100GW target by 2022. As of March 2019, the cumulative installed solar energy capacity in the country has crossed the 28GW mark. 

     

    During 2018, Japan positioned second, behind China, in solar limit and created around 5% of the nation’s power requirement.

     

    In 2018, the nation had 55.5 GW limit with regards to solar PV, and under the Long-term Energy Supply and Request Standpoint for FY 2030, the Service of Economy, Exchange, and Industry of Japan is meaning to build the portion of sustainable power source offer to 24% by 2030, which is required to expand the solar PV showcase in the nation and in the locale.

     

    In 2017, the South Korean government decided that in Seoul, the country’s capital, the government will implement solar panels in one-third of all households by 2022. This is expected to result in increasing the existing solar capacity by about ten times.

     

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    CHINA SOLAR PV MODULE MARKET

    • China leads the world market of electricity generation using solar energy with combined installed capacity of 245 GW as Nov, 2020.
    • China in its new five-year plan has ambitious plan of installing 75 GW combined capacity solar power plants.
    • China’s solar module exports were 36.9 GW in the first five months of 2021, up 35.1% from a year earlier and the exports have reached 45-46 GW by the end of June 2021.
    • China is expected to add up to 65 GigaWatts (GW) of solar power capacity in 2021, taking total solar installations beyond 300 GW by the end of the year.

     

    INDIA SOLAR PV MODULE MARKET

    • India is the fifth largest solar power generating country in the world with combined capacity of 36 GW as of Nov, 2020.
    • India plans to reach a generating capacity of 175 GW by the end of 2022.
    • Adani’s renewable Energy Arm gets LoA for 600 MW Hybrid power project.
    • Total expands sustainable energy alliance with Adani, takes 20% Stake in AGEL. Deal was worth $2.5 Billion.
    • In 2020, India witnessed a GST hike from 5% to 12% for solar projects unviable
    • India has 100 GW installed solar and wind capacity. India has set a target of having 175 GW renewable energy capacity by 2022.
    • A battery project of 12 gigawatt-hours (GWhr) will be set up in Ladakh.
    • NTPC’s floating solar installation spans over 75 acres of the Simhadri reservoir’s area. It will generate enough electricity to power 7,000 homes using more than a lakh solar PV modules.

     

     

    JAPAN SOLAR PV MODULE MARKET

    • Japan has surpassed United States in total solar generating capacity, with total combined capacity of 61.8 GW.

     

    EUROPE SOLAR PV MODULE MARKET

    • European Union aims to have a combined solar generating capacity of 140 GW by the end of 2021.
    • In April 2020, LONGi entered into an agreement with Swedish distributor Senergia for the supply of 9.2 MW of its Hi-MO4 modules. The agreement includes around 25,000 PV modules of various power—23,400 pieces of 370 W and 1,320 pieces of 440W.

     

    To know more about Europe Solar Panel Market, read our report

     

         GERMANY

    • Germany with solar generating capacity of 50 GW is the world’s 4th largest solar energy generator in the world, as of early 2020.
    • Germany aims to achieve 50% of total electricity production in the country through solar energy by 2030, which was 11% as of 2020.

     

     

    GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

    The solar power sector is facing challenges from alternate sources of electricity, which mainly includes gas power and wind power. As power generation from wind and gas resources are cleaner modes of energy production, the growing adoption of the same is expected to hamper the demand for solar power. Various governments worldwide have formulated favorable policies to drive wind and gas power infrastructures.

     

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    In spite of the fact that the normal cost of solar photovoltaic panels has descended radically throughout the recent decade, the expense of claiming and introducing solar photovoltaic panels is still very high and goes about as a restriction in most territories.

     

    The global solar panel market size was estimated at $46 Billion in 2019 growing at 6.6% CAGR till 2026

     

    RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET

     

    SI no Timeline Company Developments
    1 July 2021 Jinko Solar  Jinko Solar has announced that it has achieved a major technical breakthrough on its N-type monocrystalline silicon solar cell and it has set a new world record for the fourth time in a year with maximum solar conversion efficiency of 25.4% solar cell.
    2 September 2021 Orsted The 670,000 solar project has been completed thereby increasing the Orsted’s solar PV capacity to 647MW and partnered with Tennessee Valley Authority.
    3 March 2021 JA Solar JA Solar launched its Deepblue 3.0 light high-efficiency module tailored for commercial and residential rooftop solar panels around the global market.
    4 February 2021 Q cells In the Netherlands, a 539 kW rooftop solar panel array has been installed using 1635Q cells which meet the annual electricity needs of one of the largest flower bulb producers. 

     

    COVID IMPACT ON GLOBAL SOLAR PANEL MARKET

    The COVID-19 outbreak is evidently going to bring about great innovative changes in society. It is hoped that investment will be stepped up in technologies bearing a future and in new business models, to promote initiatives inspiring the realization of a sustainable, resilient society and contribution to measures addressing climate change.

     

    Over the world the manufacturers reported declines in their plant operations and operating ratios. However, plant-operating ratios recovered in general to the level of an industry average by the end of February. Reportedly, production and distribution in China almost normalized as of April. But in the current global PV market, the impact on the downstream sector is where PV system installations are underway. 

     

    Although situations greatly vary by country and region, delays in approval and work periods induced by city-wide lockdowns are reported in major PV projects regarding centralized PV power stations, or so-called mega-solar projects.

     

    Moreover, some planned tenders for PV projects have been rescheduled to later dates. In the sphere of distributed power systems, their installations remain stagnant in Europe and the United States, both main markets of this sector, for such reasons as the inability to make investment decisions over PV system introduction for housing and business use amid uncertain economic prospects. These direct adverse effects are considered to fade away as the pandemic subsides, with some PV installations put off until 2021 and 2022.


    Coupled with such direct effects, the global economic standstill has reportedly impacted as well. The development of new projects faces rising investment costs in the aftermath of the sharp depreciation of local currencies stemming from erratic fluctuations in foreign exchange rates caused by the changing economic picture.

     

    Among countries that procure PV-related products quoted in the U.S. dollar, Mexico, Brazil and Australia have been hit hard in particular, and the development of projects scheduled for connection to the power grid in 2021 may possibly be delayed or called off. 

     

    Sagging power demand has led to increased restrictions on power output, adversely affecting the profitability of some existing PV projects, according to reports from the countries concerned. 

     

    In Europe, solar power stations known as merchant PV plants, which sell power through an electricity trading market without depending on public subsidies, have been launched. But the changing power supply/demand balance has caused trading prices to fall, worsening project profitability and raising concerns that fundraising for new similar projects may become difficult.

     

    As the spread of COVID-19 infections draws near the end, recovery from the epidemic-induced economic slump has become the most important challenge for the future, and national governments over the world have come up with an array of initiatives to support it.

     

    For instance, the European Union (EU) has agreed to focus its post-pandemic strategy for economic recovery on the transition to green energy and other measures. In this connection, the EU has urged member countries and related institutions to start work on a roadmap accompanied by an action plan for economic recovery, interlocked with its initiative against climate change, dubbed a “European Green Deal,” unveiled in 2019.

     

    In May, the European Commission indicated that the post-pandemic recovery strategy will feature green transition, among other initiatives. Specifically, it was made clear that the EU will solicit bids for renewable energy projects totaling 15 GW in the next two years.

     

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    SOLAR PANEL MARKET COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

     

    SI no Timeline Company Sales
    1 Q3-2021 First Solar Inc The third quarter net sales is about $584 million and in the second quarter of 2021 the net sales was $630 million.
    2 H1-2021 Acconia The total revenue of Acconia at the end of June is about €1.04 billion and in the previous year the revenue was €845 million.
    3 Q3-2021 Jinko Solar At the end of third quarter the total revenue of Jinko Solar was $1.33 billion and in 2020 the revenue was $1.24 billion.
    4 Q3-2021 Canadian Solar At the end of  third quarter the net revenue of Canadian Solar was about $1.22 billion and in 2020 the net revenue was $914 million.
    5 Q3-2021 Orsted The revenue of Orsted at the end third quarter was $2.2 billion and in the previous year the revenue was $1.52 billion.
    6 Q2-2021 Global Sharp The six month ended in September accounted for a net sales of ¥1.21 billion and in 2020 the net sales was ¥1.14 billion.

     

    COMPARISON OF SOLAR PANEL POWER OUTPUT BY PLAYERS AND PANEL TYPE

     

    COMPANY  NO. OF CELL/ TYPE OF MODULE  POWER OUTPUT 
    MITSUBISHI  MONOCRYSTALLINE  190 W – 265 W 
    MITSUBISHI  POLYCRYSTALLINE  180 W – 235 W 
    YINGLI’S PANDA  N-TYPE, MONOCRYSTALLINE, 

    60 CELL 

    250 W- 300 W 
    SUNTECH  MONOCRYSTALLINE, 

    60 CELL  

    275 W- 295 W 
    SUNTECH  MONOCRYSTALLINE, 

    72 CELL 

    330 W 
    YINGLI’S  POLYCRYSTALLINE, 

    60 CELL 

    250 W – 275 W 
    YINGLI’S  POLYCRYSTALLINE, 

    72 CELL 

    300 W – 325 W 
    SUNTECH  POLYCRYSTALLINE MODULE, 60CELL  265 W – 320 W 
    SUNTECH  HIGH EFFICIENCY (16.8%), 

    MULTICRYSTALLINE MODULE, 72CELL 

    320 W  
    PANASONIC  HIT MODULES  225 W- 330 W 

     

     

    • Ukrainian start-up River Solar has developed a solar tile for building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) with a 19.5% power conversion efficiency and carries a 25-year performance guarantee.
    • Chinese solar manufacturer JinkoSolar has achieved 23.1% conversion efficiency for an n-type monocrystalline solar PV module.
    • Banque des Territoires acquired 50% of Total’s wind and solar Portfolio. The asset includes 11 wind farms and 35 solar power plants with a combined capacity of 143 MW.
    • India based Adani Green Energy commissioned 25 MW Solar Plant in Uttar Pradesh, India.
    • India based Tata Power got Letter of Award (LoA) to Develop 110MW solar project from Kerala State Electricity Board. Project to be completed by July, 2022.
    • ECL, the West Bengal-located coal-producing subsidiary of Coal India Ltd, commissioned a 250-kW rooftop solar power project on ramping up its total installed solar rooftop capacity to 692 kW.

     

     

    SOLAR PANEL MARKET COMPANY PROFILES

    1. First Solar Inc.
    2. Sharp Corporation
    3. JinkoSolar Holding Co. Ltd
    4. JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd
    5. Trina Solar Ltd
    6. Hanwha Q Cells Co. Ltd
    7. Acciona Energia SA
    8. Canadian Solar Inc.
    9. Duke Energy Corporation
    10. EDF SA
    11. Orsted AS

     

    THIS SOLAR PANEL MARKET REPORT WILL ANSWER FOLLOWING QUESTIONS

    1. Solar Panel Market size and Forecast, by region, by application
    2. Average B-2-B price for Solar Panel Market, by region, per user
    3. Technology trends and related opportunity for new Solar Panel Market tech suppliers
    4. Solar Panel Market share of leading vendors, by region,
    5.  Coronavirus impact on Solar Panel Market earnings
    Sl no Topic
    1 Market Segmentation
    2 Scope of the report
    3 Abbreviations
    4 Research Methodology
    5 Executive Summary
    6 Introduction
    7 Insights from Industry stakeholders
    8 Cost breakdown of Product by sub-components and average profit margin
    9 Disruptive innovation in the Industry
    10 Technology trends in the Industry
    11 Consumer trends in the industry
    12 Recent Production Milestones
    13 Component Manufacturing in US, EU and China
    14 COVID-19 impact on overall market
    15 COVID-19 impact on Production of components
    16 COVID-19 impact on Point of sale
    17 Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by Geography, 2021-2026
    18 Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by Product Type, 2021-2026
    19 Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by Application, 2021-2026
    20 Market Segmentation, Dynamics and Forecast by End use, 2021-2026
    21 Product installation rate by OEM, 2021
    22 Incline/Decline in Average B-2-B selling price in past 5 years
    23 Competition from substitute products
    24 Gross margin and average profitability of suppliers
    25 New product development in past 12 months
    26 M&A in past 12 months
    27 Growth strategy of leading players
    28 Market share of vendors, 2021
    29 Company Profiles
    30 Unmet needs and opportunity for new suppliers
    31 Conclusion
    32 Appendix

     

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